The Death of Money (44 page)

Read The Death of Money Online

Authors: James Rickards

BOOK: The Death of Money
2.41Mb size Format: txt, pdf, ePub

an initiative that requires all Swiss gold . . .
:
Luzi Stamm, “‘Gold Initiative’: A Swiss Initiative to Secure the Swiss National Bank’s
Gold Reserves,” Volksinitiative Rettet unser Schweizer Gold, press release, September
20, 2011, http://www.goldinitiative.ch/downloads/goldinitiative-english.pdf.

“I don’t know . . .”
:
Katharina Bart and Albert Schmieder, “Swiss Right-Wing Forces Referendum on Banning
SNB Gold Sales,” Reuters, March 20, 2013, http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/20/us-swiss-gold-idUSBRE92J0Z320130320.

The remainder is divided . . .
:
Jaco Schipper, “90% of Dutch Gold Reserve Is Held Abroad,”
Market Update,
January 7, 2012, http://www.marketupdate.nl/nieuws/valutacrisis/90-of-dutch-gold-reserve-is-held-abroad.

The international monetary debate . . .
:
For a scholarly, in-depth study of efforts at reform of the international monetary
system including the C-20, the Jamaica Meeting, and the Second Amendment to the IMF
Articles of Agreement, see Kenneth W. Dam,
The Rules of the Game: Reform and Evolution in the International Monetary System
(Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1982).

“You are . . . asking this to someone . . .”
:
Mario Draghi, lecture at the John F. Kennedy Jr. Forum at the Institute of Politics,
Harvard University, Cambridge, Mass., October 9, 2013, https://forum.iop.harvard.edu/content/public-address-mario-draghi.

Chapter 10: Crossroads

“a chronic condition of sub-normal activity . . .”
:
John Maynard Keynes,
The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money
(San Diego: Harcourt, 1964), p. 249.

Based on duration if not strength . . .
:
John H. Makin, “Third Time Unlucky: Recession in 2014?” American Enterprise Institute,
July 30, 2013, http://www.aei.org/outlook/economics/monetary-policy/third-time-unlucky-recession-in-2014.

Despite cheerleading in late 2013 . .
:
Daniel Alpert, “The New Sick-onomy? Examining the Entrails of the U.S. Employment
Situation,”
EconoMonitor,
July 24,
2013, http://www.economonitor.com/danalperts2cents/2013/07/24/the-new-sick-onomy-examining-the-entrails-of-the-u-s-employment-situation.

By August 2013, total student loans backed . . .
:
“The Rolling Student Loan Bailout,”
Wall Street Journal,
August 9, 2013, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323968704578652291680883634.html.

“the test of a first-rate intelligence . . .”
:
F. Scott Fitzgerald,
The Crack-Up
(1936; reprint New York: New Directions, 2009).

The bitcoin phenomenon began in 2008 . . .
:
Satoshi Nakamoto, “Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System,” November 1, 2008,
http://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf.

the history of barter is mostly a myth
:
David Graeber,
Debt: The First 5,000 Years
(Brooklyn, N.Y.: Melville House, 2011), pp. 21–41.

“Sept. 11 was not a failure of intelligence or coordination . . .”
:
Thomas L. Friedman, “A Failure to Imagine,”
New York Times,
May 19, 2002, http://www.nytimes.com/2002/05/19/opinion/a-failure-to-imagine.html.

Chapter 11: Maelstrom

“The broad question is whether central banks . . .”
:
Arthur F. Burns, memorandum to President Gerald R. Ford, June 3, 1975, U.S. Department
of State, Office of the Historian, http://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1969-76v31/d86.

“We . . . feel strongly that some safeguards . . .”
:
President Gerald R. Ford to Chancellor Helmut Schmidt, June 6, 1975, Gerald R. Ford
Library, Ann Arbor, Mich., http://www.fordlibrarymuseum.gov/library/document/0351/1555807.pdf.

the secret Gold and Foreign Exchange Committee . . .
:
Adam Lebor,
Tower of Basel: The Shadowy History of the Secret Bank That Runs the World
(New York: Public Affairs, 2013), p. 189.

“In May 1996, the market traded the equivalent . . .”
:
Dino Kos, Gold and Foreign Exchange Committee Discussion on Gold Market, April 7,
1997, http://www.gata.org/files/FedMemoG-10Gold&FXCommittee-4-29-1997.pdf.

“information relating to swap arrangements . . .”
:
Kevin M. Warsh, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, to William J. Olson,
September 17, 2009, http://www.gata.org/files/GATAFedResponse-09-17-2009.pdf.

“We bought 300 tonnes of gold . . .”
:
Eisuke Sakakibara, conversation with the author, Seoul, South Korea, May 31, 2013.

The gold was transported to Japan . . .
:
Retired official of Brinks, conversation with the author, Hickory, N.C., November
10, 2013.

The most notorious and heavily criticized case . . .
:
Holly Watt and Robert Winnett, “Goldfinger Brown’s £2 Billion Blunder in the Bullion
Market,”
Sunday Times,
April 15, 2007, http://www.thesundaytimes.co.uk/sto/Test/politics/article63170.ece.

“Around 90% of customer placements . . .”
:
Bank for International Settlements, Financial Statements, updated June 24, 2013 ,
http://www.bis.org/banking/balsheet.htm (accessed July 21, 2013).

“The Bank transacts . . . gold on behalf of its customers . . .”
:
Bank for International Settlements, 83rd Annual Report, March 31, 2013, p. 110, http://www.bis.org/publ/arpdf/ar2013e7.pdf#page=44.

“Gold loans comprise fixed-term gold loans
to commercial banks

:
Bank for
International Settlements, 80th Annual Report, March 31, 2010, p. 158n15, http://www.bis.org/publ/arpdf/ar2010e8.htm;
emphasis added.

“Gold loans comprise fixed-term gold loans”
:
Bank for International Settlements, 83rd Annual Report, June 23, 2013, p. 133n15,
http://www.bis.org/publ/arpdf/ar2013e7.pdf.

on September 18, 2009, the IMF authorized the sale of 403.3 tonnes . . .
:
Information in this extended analysis of IMF gold sales comes from “Questions and
Answers, IMF Gold Sales,” International Monetary Fund, updated May 16, 2013, http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/faq/goldfaqs.htm.

“China’s acquisition of gold makes sense . . .”
:
Dr. Min Zhu, conversation with the author, New York City, November 8, 2012.

“Somebody’s got to own it . . .”
:
High-ranking intelligence official, conversation with the author, McLean, Va., December
13, 2012.

“I never hear any discussion . . .”
:
James Himes, conversation with the author, Southport, Conn., July 15, 2013.

Mishkin warns that the Fed is dangerously close . . .
:
David Greenlaw, James D. Hamilton, Peter Hooper, and Frederic S. Mishkin, “Crunch
Time: Fiscal Crises and the Role of Monetary Policy,” U.S. Monetary Policy Forum,
February 22, 2013, rev. July 29, 2013, http://dss.ucsd.edu/~jhamilto/USMPF13_final.pdf.

“In the extreme, unsustainable fiscal policy . . .”
:
Ibid., pp. 61–62.

Conclusion

“The piecemeal engineer will, accordingly . . .”
:
Karl Popper,
The Open Society and Its Enemies
(Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1971), pp. 157–59. Popper is quoted
in George Soros, “How to Save the Euro from the EU Crisis—The Speech in Full,”
Guardian,
April 9, 2013, http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2013/apr/09/george-soros-save-eu-from-euro-crisis-speech.

the state is well armed with SWAT teams . . .
:
Radley Balko,
Rise of the Warrior Cop: The Militarization of America’s Police Forces
(New York: Public Affairs, 2013).

Author Jonah Goldberg has documented fascism’s history . . .
:
Jonah Goldberg,
Liberal Fascism: The Secret History of the American Left from Mussolini to the Politics
of Meaning
(New York: Doubleday, 2008).

More ominous was his remark . . .
:
Quoted in Balko,
Warrior Cop,
p. 333.

SELECTED SOURCES

ARTICLES

Akerlof, George A. “The Market for ‘Lemons’: Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism.”
Quarterly Journal of Economics
84, no. 3 (August 1970), pp. 488–500.

Alderman, Liz. “Under Chinese, a Greek Port Thrives.”
New York Times,
October 19, 2012, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/11/business/global/chinese-company-sets-new-rhythm-in-port-of-piraeus.html.

Alderman, Liz, and Demitris Bounias. “Privatizing Greece, Slowly but Not Surely.”
New York Times
, November 18, 2012, www.nytimes.com/glogin?URI=http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/18/business/privatizing-greece-slowly-but-not-surely.html.

Allouni, Tayser. “A Discussion on the New Crusader Wars,” October 21, 2001, http://www.religioscope.com/info/doc/jihad/ubl_int_2.htm.

Ambinder, Marc. “The Day After.”
National Journal,
April 11, 2011, http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/government-still-unprepared-for-disaster-20110411.

Åslund, Anders. “Southern Europe Ignores Lessons from Latvia at Its Peril,” Peterson
Institute for International Economics, Policy Brief no. PB12-17, June 2012, http://www.iie.com/publications/pb/pb12-17.pdf.

———. “Paul Krugman’s Baltic Problem,”
Foreign Policy,
September 13, 2012, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/09/13/paul_krugmans_baltic_problem.

Bak, Per. “The Devil’s Staircase.”
Physics Today
39, no. 12 (1986), pp. 38–45.

———. “Catastrophes and Self-Organized Criticality.”
Computers in Physics,
no. 5 (1991), pp. 430–33.

Barnett, Lionel, Joseph T. Lizier, Michael Harré, Anil K. Seth, and Terry Bossomaier.
“Information Flow in a Kinetic Ising Model Peaks in the Disordered Phase.”
Physical Review Letters
111, no. 17 (2013), pp. 177203-1–177203-3, http://prl.aps.org/abstract/PRL/v111/i17/e177203.

Barro, Robert J. “Are Government Bonds Net Wealth?”
Journal of Political Economy
82 (1974), pp. 1095–117.

Barro, Robert J., and Charles J. Redlick. “Macroeconomic Effects from Government Purchases
and Taxes.” National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper no. 15369, September
2009, http://www.nber.org/papers/w15369.

Barsky, Robert B., and Lawrence H. Summers. “Gibson’s Paradox and the Gold Standard.”
Journal of Political Economy
96 (1988), pp. 528–50.

Basher, Dr. Syed Abul. “Regional Initiative in the Gulf: Search for a GCC Currency.”
Paper presented at the International Institute for Strategic Studies Seminar, Bahrain,
September 30, 2012, http://www.iiss.org/en/events/geo-economics%20seminars/geo-economics%20seminars/archive/currencies-of-power-and-the-power-of-currencies-38db.

Benoit, Angeline, Manuel Baigorri, and Emma Ross-Thomas. “Rajoy Drives Spanish Revolution
with Low-Cost Manufacture.”
Bloomberg,
December 19, 2012, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-12-19/rajoy-drives-spanish-revolution-with-low-cost-manufacture.html.

Berkmen, S. Pelin. “Bank of Japan’s Quantitative and Credit Easing: Are They Now More
Effective?” IMF Working Paper no. WP/12/2, January 2012, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2012/wp1202.pdf.

Bernanke, Ben S. “Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Cyclical Investment.” National
Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper no. 502, July 1980, http://www.nber.org/papers/w502.

———. “The Macroeconomics of the Great Depression: A Comparative Approach.”
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
27 (1995), pp. 1–28.

———. “Deflation: Making Sure ‘It’ Doesn’t Happen Here.” Address to the National Economists
Club, Washington, D.C., November 21, 2002, http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/2002/20021121/default.htm.

———. “U.S. Monetary Policy and International Implications.” Remarks at IMF–Bank of
Japan seminar, Tokyo, October 14, 2012, http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/bernanke20121014a.htm.

———. “Monetary Policy and the Global Economy.” Speech at the London School of Economics,
London, March 25, 2013, http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/bernanke20130325a.htm.

Blanchard, Oliver, and Roberto Perotti. “An Empirical Characterization of the Dynamic
Effects of Changes in Government Spending and Taxes on Output.”
Quarterly Journal of Economics
(2002), pp. 1329–68.

Bouras, Stelios, and Philip Pangalos. “Foreign Money Is Revisiting Greece.”
Wall Street Journal,
February 25, 2013, p. C1, http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424127887323864304578320431435196910.

Bumiller, Elisabeth. “Bin Laden, on Tape, Boasts of Trade Center Attacks; U.S. Says
It Proves His Guilt.”
New York Times,
December 14, 2001, http://www.nytimes.com/2001/12/14/world/nation-challenged-video-bin-laden-tape-boasts-trade-center-attacks-us-says-it.html.

Buttonwood. “The Real Deal—Low Real Interest Rates Are Usually Bad New for Equity
Markets.”
Economist,
October 20, 2012, http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21564845-low-real-interest-rates-are-usually-bad-news-equity-markets.

———. “The Euro Zone Crisis: Growth Problem.”
Economist,
December 17, 2012, http://www.economist.com/blogs/buttonwood/2012/12/euro-zone-crisis.

“Cargo Plane with 1.5 Tons of Gold Held in Istanbul.”
Hurriyet Daily News,
January 5, 2013, http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/cargo-plane-with-15-tons-of-gold-held-in-istanbul-.aspx?pageID=238&nid=38427.

Cendrowicz, Leo. “Switzerland Celebrates World’s Longest Rail Tunnel.”
Time,
October 20, 2010, http://www.time.com/time/business/article/0,8599,2026369,00.html.

Chesney, Marc, Remo Crameri, and Loriano Mancini. “Detecting Informed Trading Activities
in the Options Markets.” Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper no. 11-42 (July 2012),
http://ssrn.com/abstract=1522157.

“China, Russia Sign Five-Point Joint Statement,” Xinhua, June 18, 2009, http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-06/18/content_11558133.htm.

Christ, Carl F. “A Short-Run Aggregate-Demand Model of the Interdependence and Effects
of Monetary and Fiscal Policies with Keynesian and Classical Interest Elasticities.”
American Economic Review
57, no. 2 (May 1967).

Clark, Andrew. “The
Guardian
Profile: Stephen Schwarzman.”
Guardian,
June 15, 2007, http://www.theguardian.com/business/2007/jun/15/4.

Cogan, John F., Tobias Cwik, John B. Taylor, and Volker Wieland. “New Keynesian Versus
Old Keynesian Government Spending Multipliers.” National Bureau of Economic Research,
Working Paper no. 14782, March 2009, http://www.nber.org/papers/w14782.

Cogan, John F., and John B. Taylor. “The Obama Stimulus Impact? Zero.”
Wall Street Journal,
December 9, 2010, http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052748704679204575646603792267296.

Das, Mitali, and Papa N’Diaye. “Chronicle of a Decline Foretold: Has China Reached
the Lewis Turning Point?” IMF Working Paper no. WP/13/26, January 2013, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=40281.0.

Davis, Bob. “China Tries to Shut Rising Income Gap.”
Wall Street Journal,
December 11, 2012, p. A14, http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424127887324640104578161493858722884.

Del Negro, Marco, Marc Giannoni, and Christina Patterson. “The Forward Guidance Puzzle.”
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Staff Report no. 574, October 2012, http://newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr574.pdf.

Dell’Ariccia, Giovanni, Luc Laeven, and Gustavo Suarez. “Bank Leverage and Monetary
Policy’s Risk-Taking Channel: Evidence from the United States.” IMF Working Paper
no. WP/13/143, June 2013, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=40642.0.

Dixon, Hugo. “The Gloom Around Greece Is Dissipating.”
New York Times
, April 21, 2013, http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/22/business/global/the-gloom-around-greece-is-dissipating.html.

Eichengreen, Barry. “The Dollar Dilemma: The World’s Top Currency Faces Competition.”
Foreign Affairs
, September–October 2009, pp. 53–68.

Eichengreen, Barry, and Marc Flandreau. “The Rise and Fall of the Dollar, Or When
Did the Dollar Replace Sterling as the Leading Reserve Currency?” National
Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper no. 14154, July 2008, http://www.nber.org/papers/w14154.

Eichengreen, Barry, and Douglas A. Irwin. “The Slide to Protectionism in the Great
Depression: Who Succumbed and Why?” National Bureau of Economic Research, Working
Paper no. 15142, July 2009, http://www.nber.org/papers/w15142.

eThekwini Declaration. Fifth BRICS Summit, Durban, South Africa, March 27, 2013, http://www.brics5.co.za/assets/eThekwini-Declaration-and-Action-Plan-MASTER-27-MARCH-2013.pdf.

Evans-Pritchard, Ambrose. “Beijing Hints at Bond Attack on Japan.”
Telegraph,
September 18, 2012, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/china-business/9551727/Beijing-hints-at-bond-attack-on-Japan.html.

———. “Japan’s Shinzo Abe Prepares to Print Money for the Whole World.”
Telegraph
, December 17, 2012, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/9751609/Japans-Shinzo-Abe-prepares-to-print-money-for-the-whole-world.html.

Falliere, Nicolas, Liam O. Murchu, and Eric Chien. “W.32.Stuxnet Dossier Version 1.4,”
Symantec, February 2011, http://www.symantec.com/content/en/us/enterprise/media/security_response/whitepapers/w32_stuxnet_dossier.pdf.

Farchy, Jack. “Iran Bought Gold to Cut Dollar Exposure.”
Financial Times,
March 20, 2011, http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/cc350008-5325-11e0-86e6-00144feab49a.html.

Farchy, Jack, and Roula Khalaf. “Gold Key to Financing Gaddafi Struggle.”
Financial Times
, March 21, 2011, http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/588ce75a-53e4-11e0-8bd7-00144feab49a.html.

Faucon, Benoît. “U.S. Warns Russia on Iranian Bank.”
Wall Street Journal,
December 11, 2012, http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424127887323330604578145071930969966.

Ferguson, Niall. “Complexity and Collapse: Empires on the Edge of Chaos.”
Foreign Affairs
,
March–April 2010, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/65987/niall-ferguson/complexity-and-collapse.

Fisher, Irving. “The Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions.”
Econometrica
(1933), available from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/docs/meltzer/fisdeb33.pdf.

Fisher, Max. “Syrian Hackers Claim AP Hack That Tipped Stock Market by $136 Billion.
Is It Terrorism?”
Washington Post,
April 23, 2013, http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/worldviews/wp/2013/04/23/syrian-hackers-claim-ap-hack-that-tipped-stock-market-by-136-billion-is-it-terrorism.

Flavelle, Christopher. “Debunking the ‘Wealth Effect.’”
Slate,
June 10, 2008, http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/hey_wait_a_minute/2008/06/debunking_the_wealth_effect.html.

Forbes, Kristin. “Why Do Foreigners Invest in the United States?” National Bureau
of Economic Research, Working Paper no. 13908, April 2008, http://www.nber.org/papers/w13908.

Gang, Xiao. “Regulating Shadow Banking.”
China Daily,
October 12, 2012, http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/opinion/2012-10/12/content_15812305.htm.

Gelb, Leslie H. “GDP Now Matters More Than Force: A U.S. Policy for the Age of
Economic Power.”
Foreign Affairs
, November–December 2010, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/66858/leslie-h-gelb/gdp-now-matters-more-than-force.

Gill, Indermit, and Martin Raiser. “Golden Growth: Restoring the Lustre of the European
Economic Model.” International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, 2012, http://issuu.com/world.bank.publications/docs/9780821389652.

“Gold Seized at Istanbul Airport Was Allegedly for Iran.”
Voice of Russia,
January 6, 2013, http://voiceofrussia.com/2013_01_06/Gold-seized-at-Istanbul-airport-was-allegedly-for-Iran.

Goodhart, Charles. “Central Banks Walk Inflation’s Razor Edge.”
Financial Times,
January 30, 2013, http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/744e4a96-661c-11e2-b967-00144feab49a.html.

Hanemann, Thilo, and Daniel H. Rosen. “China Invests in Europe, Patterns, Impacts
and Policy Implications.” Rhodium Group, June 2012, http://download.www.arte.tv/permanent/u1/Quand-la-Chine/RHG_ChinaInvestsInEurope_June2012[1].pdf.

Hanke, Steve H. “The Federal Reserve vs. Small Business.” Cato Institute, June 3,
2013, http://www.cato.org/blog/federal-reserve-vs-small-business-0.

———. “Syria’s Annual Inflation Hits 200%.” Cato Institute, July 1, 2013, http://www.cato.org/blog/syrias-annual-inflation-hits-200.

Hayek, Friedrich. “The Use of Knowledge in Society.”
American Economic Review
35, no. 4 (September 1945), pp. 519–30, http://www.econlib.org/library/Essays/hykKnw1.html.

“Heirs of Mao’s Comrades Rise as New Capitalist Nobility.”
Bloomberg News,
December 26, 2012, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-12-26/immortals-beget-china-capitalism-from-citic-to-godfather-of-golf.html.

Hetzel, Robert L. “Monetary Policy in the 2008–2009 Recession.”
Economic Quarterly
95 (2009), pp. 201–33.

Higgins, Andrew. “Used to Hardship, Latvia Accepts Austerity, and Its Pain Eases.”
New York Times,
January 1, 2013, http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/02/world/europe/used-to-hardship-latvia-accepts-austerity-and-its-pain-eases.html?pagewanted=all.

Hiro, Dilip. “Shanghai Surprise—The Summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation
Reveals How Power Is Shifting in the World.”
Guardian
, June 16, 2006, http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2006/jun/16/shanghaisurprise.

Hunt, Lacy H. “The Fed’s Flawed Model.” Casey Research, May 28, 2013, http://www.caseyresearch.com/articles/the-feds-flawed-model.

International Monetary Fund. “Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves
(COFER),” http://www.imf.org/external/np/sta/cofer/eng/index.htm.

———. “Proposal for a General Allocation of SDRs.” Report, June 9, 2009, http://www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2009/060909.pdf.

Other books

Watching You by Michael Robotham
Haze and the Hammer of Darkness by L. E. Modesitt, Jr.
Ghost to the Rescue by Carolyn Hart
Trials of Passion by Lisa Appignanesi
Bloomsbury's Outsider by Sarah Knights
The Masked City by Genevieve Cogman
Morning Star by Marian Wells
The 10 P.M. Question by Kate De Goldi
Crescendo Of Doom by John Schettler