Authors: Steve Lewis
âSee you here in an hour, Bill,' he said to his driver.
Like most of Canberra's diplomatic estates, the Thai embassy was designed to reflect its nation's architecture. The buildings had steep, elegantly curved and tapered roofs, made for a hot, wet climate.
The fragrant smells of coriander, spiced beef and sweet sauces tantalised Paxton as he passed an outdoor marquee. But he made a beeline for the drinks waiter, snatching a Hunter Valley white as he scoured the crowd for friendly faces.
Oh shit!
Ali Bakir, the Palestine Liberation Organization's apparently permanent representative in Canberra, was in close orbit. Paxton used to joke, when he was Defence Minister, that Bakir was a small bore, but could be used with lethal effect. Today, though, the last thing he wanted was a dissertation on the evils of the Jewish State.
He turned towards trestle tables laden with food, grabbed a plate and edged his way into the queue. âThe dim sum are delicious,' a woman remarked.
He loaded his plate and carefully manoeuvred his way through the crowd with his head down until he guessed he was a safe distance from Bakir.
A gentle, familiar laugh. He froze.
It couldn't be.
He searched the crowd and there she was, in a tight circle of admiring envoys â laughing in that way that men found intoxicating.
The last time he'd heard that sweet beautiful sound was at the St Regis in Beijing. He'd just called room service, from memory.
She caught sight of him, dipped her head and turned, expertly exiting the conversation, leaving disappointed diplomats in her wake.
âWhat are you doing here?' Paxton's urgent whisper was part question, part rebuke.
âGood work for my government, Mr Paxton. I arrived just over a month ago.'
She smiled and old feelings stirred.
âIt's nice to see you, Bruce.'
Weng Meihui's hand brushed his arm as she removed an imaginary piece of cotton from his suit.
âAnd you. And . . . us?' Paxton surprised himself with his last words.
âThat is for another day,' she said, another small ripple of laughter cutting like crystal through his heart. âFor today there is someone you need to meet.'
Weng guided Paxton to a man standing a few metres away.
âMr Paxton, this is my husband, the new Ambassador, Tian Qichen.'
Washington
The white folder bore the Presidential seal, a strip of bold red cut across its centre highlighting the black capitals that declared the contents âCLASSIFIED'.
Earle Jackson scanned his copy of the Morning Summary and frowned. The US President loved a good horror story but this was terrifying. And all too real. It seemed as if the whole world was on edge, bad news overlapping ever more dire headlines.
The overnight watch team in the White House Situation Room had compiled a list of international flashpoints. The Middle East was its usual basket case. Baghdad was ablaze with daily suicide bombings, and the growing tide of Syrian refugees from the civil war was swamping Lebanon and other nervous neighbours. In Thailand the public was venting its anger while South America's incessant drug war was taking a heavy toll.
But it was the Pacific, the geographic arc that stretched from the Arctic to the archipelago of Indonesia, that troubled him most.
In the weeks since he had declared China a currency manipulator, a wave of real and virtual reprisals had washed like a tsunami from East to West.
China had reasserted its claim over 80 per cent of the South China Sea. But it was in the East China Sea that the real danger loomed.
The fishermen who had invaded the Senkaku Islands were Chinese folk heroes â the English-language
China Daily
had dubbed them the Diaoyu Ten â and Beijing was offering no solutions on moving them.
It had taken an enormous effort to restrain the Japanese from retaliating. They had agreed to wait, for now, but only after the US promised to issue a strong declaration in the United Nations in support of the Japanese being recognised as the âadministrators' of those troublesome rocks.
The US President had been harangued by Japan's Prime Minister in a personal call. Shinzo Abe had made it crystal clear that his patience was running out. It was time for the US to show that its core alliances mattered. It was time to act. âWeakness is provocative,' Abe had said, quoting Rumsfeld. âAnd nothing is more provocative than a weak White House.'
The North Koreans, predictably, had decided to reboot their nuclear program and pull out of the five-party talks. The insane hermit kingdom, no doubt at the urging of the Chinese, was planning to test another missile that would track over South Korean airspace. The South was demanding more sanctions but that was being blocked in the UN Security Council by China and Russia.
There were reports that Chinese nuclear submarines were patrolling the waters near Hawaii and the Commander of the Pacific Fleet was demanding the right to engage âthe enemy' if the U-boats entered US territorial waters.
Through the portals of the internet, all-out war was raging as cyber-warriors armed themselves with ever more potent weapons. The number and scale of cyber-attacks on America and its allies had exploded, ranging from the frivolous to the dangerous. Government websites had been shut down by denial-of-service attacks; Wall Street's computers had been compromised, causing a run on US blue chips until trade had been suspended. And in Utah, a sewage spill into a local dam was being blamed on hackers who apparently had infiltrated the local water utility's SCADA operating system. In Washington, the Pentagon was reporting thousands of attempts a day aimed at cracking its formidable defences.
Jackson slurped a mug of cocoa and looked around the Situation Room, wondering if JFK had felt as impotent during the Bay of Pigs crisis in '61.
No, for all his faults, JFK never felt impotent.
It was Kennedy who had established the Sit Room following that disaster. A half-century later, the forty-fifth President was charged with mapping a path to sort out the mess that he'd helped create.
The surprisingly small room was crowded with nearly twenty people including the Vice-President, a former Governor of Dakota whose favourite pastime was hunting buffalo with a prized bow-and-arrow.
National Security Adviser Patrick Denton had been a more sensible appointment. The career diplomat was a rarity in Washington â he possessed impeccable Republican credentials and had enjoyed a stellar career in the State Department, that viper's nest of bleeding-heart Democrats.
Denton filled the long pause in the meeting caused by the President's demand that he be allowed time to properly digest the Morning Book.
âMr President, we recommend a two-track response. We should make a stronger statement in support of Japan over the Senkakus. And we have to back that with action. We need to do something in the real world that reasserts our position as the dominant power in the Pacific and one that won't be played for a fool. Not to act only emboldens China and it will invite another move designed to test our resolve.'
Denton knew this would play better with the President than the rest of his advice.
âBut then, sir, we need to offer an olive branch to China over the currency war. We have to settle things down and seek a return to normal diplomatic relations.
âNo one wants a conflict, and if things keep tracking the way they are going, the chances that either we or the Chinese will miscalculate are large. And sir, to be blunt, America is in no shape for conflict in the Pacific. We need time to regather ourselves. We need to press the reset button.'
Jackson scanned the room, wanting to avoid the hard decision for a moment. He picked out Dick Hargreaves, another southerner and the four-star general who ran both the National Security Agency and Cyber Command. NSA was the world's largest intelligence agency, listening to every whispered secret on the globe. And Cyber Command was the nerve centre for America's elite computer warriors.
âDick, what do you think? How are we going to get around the Great Firewall of China?' The President chuckled at his little in-joke as if he had invented the term, jolting the room into forced mirth.
âMr President, the number of cyber-strikes from China has gone off the charts. We are certain they have infiltrated â or at least positioned themselves ready to strike â key civilian and military targets. And Cisco is reporting a number of unidentified attacks on Tier 1 ISP networks which we suspect are coming from our red friends.'
Jackson snorted. âOur red friends? Now that's an oxymoron if ever I heard one.'
âYes Mr President.' Hargreaves continued without losing a beat. âWe have not been sitting idle on this matter either.'
He lifted a bound folder onto the desk and opened it.
âSir, Operation GENIE has managed to insert a number of weapons behind enemy lines, behind the Great Firewall, as you put it. In short, we have broken into some of China's military and civilian networks and placed covert implants within them. Those bugs will allow us to hijack computers and steal data. Or destroy it. I have a full brief here.
âChina knows some of its systems are compromised. But we are certain they have no idea how deeply because we have developed hardware, called “Quantum”, which allows us to jump the gap to computers that are not connected to the internet. We can now access, or bring down, some of China's most sensitive systems using covert radio waves. It is our most secret and lethal weapon.'
The general was clearly pleased with the capabilities of his computer army, but ended on a sober note.
âIn short, our homeland is vulnerable to a serious Chinese attack â but Beijing understands that retaliation would be swift and very, very potent. It depends on how much damage we are both prepared to inflict on each other.'
Jackson ran his finger around the inside rim of his mug, collecting a rich foam of chocolate-coloured milk. He plunged his chubby digit into his mouth, his signature move, disgusting at least half the people in the room.
âSo what you're telling me is that we're in a classic standoff. Jesus, it's the old American versus Commie mutual self-destruction scenario, ain't it? The goodies against the baddies.'
âWell sir, that is essentially correct.' Hargreaves thought the analogy trite but decided to leave it. âChina knows that we could do serious damage to its economy, to its infrastructure, through our cyber-weapons. But equally, they could unleash a cyber-attack on us that would do significantly more damage than 9/11. And Mr President, there are no rules of engagement in cyberspace. Once it starts in earnest there is no telling where it will end.'
Jackson knew he couldn't avoid addressing the central question forever. He had to decide whether to press ahead with his plans to continue the currency war by imposing trade sanctions on China or seek some kind of negotiated settlement. And over the last few days he'd finally seen the wisdom of tempering his actions. This escalating fight was consuming all his administration's energy and his domestic agenda was being swamped.
âLadies and gentlemen, I need a few moments alone. Can you give me the room?'
The request came as a surprise but the brass and the bureaucrats dutifully obeyed their commander-in-chief.
With the room emptied, Jackson picked up the phone and dialled the one man in Congress he feared.
For Morgan McDonald ignorance wasn't bliss, it was a career.
The Republican congressman, known universally as Big Mac, firmly believed that too much information got in the way of clear decision making and, judging by his success, his constituents agreed.
As a teen McDonald had been horrified when his musical hero Elvis held his 1973 Aloha concert in Hawaii. In protest at the King's decision to perform outside continental USA, McDonald had burned his Elvis collection. His mother had counselled, âIt's still America, honey,' but that rang hollow to Big Mac's suspicious mind.
He had been a founding member of the âBirthers' who claimed Barack Obama's birth certificate was a forgery. When a TV news anchor presented him with hard evidence that Obama was born in Hawaii, not Kenya, he immortally replied: âWell Hawaii is not really America.'
That quote had gone viral and the Hawaiian Governor was apoplectic. But he was a goddamned Democrat so it went down a treat with Big Mac's base.
McDonald caught the Tea Party wave, and rose to become leader of the House. When it came to foreign affairs he joked that he had never owned a passport and was reluctant to get one.
Big Mac neatly divided the world into allies and foes: at home and abroad. An ally did what you told them. Foes were everyone else. He liked to quote the Bible to back this view.
âHell, Jesus said, “If you aren't with us, you are against us.”'
Since the fall of the Berlin Wall, McDonald had been convinced that no state would ever again rival American power. But he watched the rapid rise of a new breed of communist in the East with growing dismay. And Beijing was more cunning than Moscow.