| | pay they did. He was turning things backward. These people are angry and they have long memories. They won't forget. While there won't be any sabotage, they will be very wary if there's a second Bush administration.
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Centralization, with varying degrees of intention, has been the dominant theme of the past few decades. It is a risky presidential strategy because when lightning strikes, as in the Iran-Contra scandal, the perpetrators are seen to be acting in the interests of the White House. Managed carefully and with moderation, centralization can yield positive results for agenda-oriented presidents. However, that same agenda, if followed too enthusiastically, can lead to overcentralization, abuse of power, loss of credibility, and backlash.
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Depoliticization, or PAS movement away from presidential policy, carries risks for any chief of state intent on reshaping the bureaucracy quickly. However, if presidents turn to politicization as a solution they create other problems for themselves. While they may profitably employ politicization in the short run, situations such as those at OMB and OPM lend credence to arguments that politicization "will prove unsatisfying and unworkable in the long run because the complexity of the administrative process requires that the roles of career and political appointees be interwovena partnership must exist between the two cadres to assure sensible policy formulation and effective policy implementation" (Levine 1986, 201).
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It is also clear from the above discussion how vulnerable government agencies are to politicization. Clearly, there is nothing save good sense to stop future presidents from repoliticizing OPM again. Recent presidents have shown no inclination to depoliticize OMB, despite its obvious lack of credibility. President Bill Clinton, in his State of the Union economic address, in an off-the-cuff remark, inadvertently underscored the political nature of OMB's numbers: he used the budget projections of the Congressional Budget Office, rather than those of Bush's leftover OMB, to plan his budget. As he pointedly told the chuckling Congress, "Don't laugh, these are your numbers."
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Decentralization works to the president's advantage when lightning strikes, as it did in the Challenger disaster, when the Bush White House was able to claim innocence and be somewhat believed. With competent, honest, and loyal appointees in charge of the bureaus, decentralization seems the safest course for any president intent on a second term and a securely honorable place in history.
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