Table 5.1. PAS TenureJohnson to Reagan 1
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| President's Term
| Average PAS Tenure (in years)
| Johnson
| | Nixon
| | Ford
| | Carter
| | Reagan
| | Source: Carl Brauer, "Tenure, Turnover, and Postgovernment Employment Trends of Presidential Employees." In The In-and-Outers: Presidential Appointees and Transient Government in Washington, ed. G. Calvin Mackenzie (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1987), 174-75.
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net secretaries served 1.5 years or less and a full 62% of deputy secretaries and 46.3% of undersecretaries had equally short tenures" (ibid., 175).
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As noted previously, 85 percent of PASs in the NAPA study had prior government service, 80 percent of them in the federal government, often in the same agencies where they later served as a PAS. These statistics mitigate somewhat tenure and turnover figures, since, presumably, those appointees with government experience require less on-the-job training. Nevertheless, regardless of party change in the White House, total tenure in the agencies, as well as total service in the federal government, has been declining (ibid., 177).
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The NAPA study found little correlation of tenure with previous employment, except among those who had worked for state or local governments immediately prior to their PAS service. The tenure of that group was 3.5 years, a full year longer than average. While it found negligible difference between female and male PASs, the study found that younger appointees tended toward shorter tenure (ibid., 175-77).
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The study also found that longer tenure correlated positively with the time left in the president's term at the time of the PAS's appointment and the confidence PASs had in career executives, though it is unknown if longer tenure caused greater confidence or vice versa.
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Shorter tenure correlated positively with: 1. the difference, not between pregovernment salary and PAS salary, but between the PAS's government salary and the next position she or he held; 2. the level of PASs' interpersonal skills (perhaps because those skills are highly in demand in both the public and private sectors); 3. Republican party affiliation (per-
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