The Rational Optimist (58 page)

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Authors: Matt Ridley

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  • Tahiti 169
  • Taiwan 31, 187, 219, 322
  • Talheim, Germany 138
  • Tanzania 316, 325, 327–8; Hadza people 61, 63, 87
  • Tapscott, Don 262
  • Tarde, Gabriel 5
  • tariffs 185–7, 188, 222–3
  • taro (vegetable plant) 126
  • Tartessians 169
  • Tasman, Abel 80
  • Tasmania 78–81, 83–4
  • Tattersall, Ian 73
  • Taverne, Dick, Baron 103
  • taxation: carbon taxes 346; and charitable giving 319; and consumption 27; and declining birth rates 211; early development of 160; and housing 25; and innovation 255; and intergenerational transfer 30; Mauryan empire 172; Roman empire 184; United States 25
  • Taylor, Barbara 103
  • tea 181, 182, 183, 202, 327, 392
  • telegraph 252–3, 257, 272, 412
  • telephones 252, 261; charges 22–3, 253; mobile 37, 252, 257, 261, 265, 267, 297, 326–7
  • television 38, 234, 252, 268
  • Telford, Thomas 221
  • Tennessee Valley Authority 326
  • termites 75–6
  • terrorism 8, 28, 296, 358
  • Tesco (retail corporation) 112
  • Tesla, Nikola 234
  • text messaging 292, 356
  • Thailand 320, 322
  • Thales of Miletus 171
  • Thames, River 17
  • thermodynamics 3, 244, 256
  • Thiel, Peter 262
  • Thiele, Bob 349
  • Thoreau, Henry David 33, 190
  • 3M (corporation) 261, 263
  • threshing 124, 125, 130, 153, 198; machines 139, 283
  • thumbs, opposable 4, 51–2
  • Thwaites, Thomas 34–5
  • Tiberius, Roman emperor 174, 259
  • tidal and wave power 246, 343, 344
  • Tierra del Fuego 45, 62, 81–2, 91–2, 137
  • tigers 146, 240
  • timber 167, 216, 229; trade 158, 159, 180, 202
  • time saving 7, 22–4, 34–5, 123
  • Timurid empire 161
  • tin 132, 165, 167, 168, 213, 223, 303
  • ‘tipping points’ 287–9, 290, 291, 293, 301–2, 311, 329
  • Tiwi people 81
  • Tokyo 190, 198
  • Tol, Richard 331
  • Tooby, John 57
  • tool making: early
    Homo sapiens
    53, 70, 71; machine tools 211, 221; Mesopotamian 159, 160; Neanderthals 55, 71, 378; Palaeolithic hominids 2, 4, 7, 48–51; technological regress 80
  • Torres Strait islanders 63–4, 81
  • tortoises 64, 68, 69, 376
  • totalitarianism 104, 109, 181–2, 290
  • toucans 146
  • Toulouse 222
  • Townes, Charles 272
  • ‘toy trade’ 223
  • Toynbee, Arnold 102–3
  • tractors 140, 153, 242
  • trade: and agriculture 123, 126, 127–33, 159, 163–4; early human development of 70–75, 89–93, 133–4, 159–60, 165; female-centred 88–9; and industrialisation 224–6; and innovation 168, 171; and property rights 324–5; and trust 98–100, 103; and urbanisation 158–61, 163–4, 167;
    see also
    bartering; exchange; markets
  • trade unions and guilds 113, 115, 223, 226
  • trademarks 264
  • traffic congestion 296
  • tragedy of the commons 203, 324
  • Trajan, Roman Emperor 161
  • transistors 271
  • transport costs 22, 23, 24, 37, 229, 230, 253, 297, 408
  • transport speeds 22, 252, 253, 270, 283–4, 286, 287, 296
  • trebuchets 275
  • Tressell, Robert 288
  • Trevithick, Richard 221, 256
  • Trippe, Juan 24
  • Trobriand islands 58
  • trust: between strangers 88–9, 93, 94–8, 104; and trade 98–100, 103, 104; within families 87–8, 89, 91
  • Tswana people 321, 322
  • tungsten 213
  • Turchin, Peter 182
  • Turkey 69, 130, 137
  • Turnbull, William (farm worker) 219
  • Turner, Adair, Baron 411
  • turning points in history, belief in 287–9, 290, 291, 293, 301–2, 311, 329
  • Tuscany 178
  • Tyneside 231
  • typhoid 14, 157, 310
  • typhus 14, 299, 310
  • Tyre 167, 168–9, 170, 328

 

  • Ubaid period 158–9, 160
  • Uganda 154, 187, 316
  • Ukraine 71, 129
  • Ulrich, Bernd 304
  • Ultimatum Game 86–7
  • unemployment 8, 28, 114, 186, 289, 296
  • United Nations (UN) 15, 40, 205, 206, 290, 402, 429
  • United States: affluence 12, 16–17, 113, 117; agriculture 139, 140–41, 142, 219–20; biofuel production 240, 241, 242; birth rates 211, 212; civil rights movement 108, 109; copyright and patent systems 265, 266; credit crunch (2008) 9, 28–9; energy use 239, 245; GDP, per capita 23, 31; Great Depression (1930s) 31, 109, 192; happiness 26–7; immigration 108, 199–200, 202, 259; income equality 18–19; industrialisation 219; life expectancy 298; New Deal 109; oil supplies 237–8; pollution levels 17, 279, 304–5; poverty 16–17, 315, 326; productivity 112–13, 117; property rights 323; rural to urban migration 219; slavery 216, 228–9, 415; tax system 25, 111, 241; trade 186, 201, 228
  • Upper Palaeolithic Revolution 73, 83, 235
  • urbanisation: and development of agriculture 128, 158–9, 163–4; global urban population totals 158, 189, 190; and population growth 209–210; and trade 158–61, 163–4, 167, 189–90;
    see also
    rural to urban migration
  • Uruguay 186
  • Uruk, Mesopotamia 159–61, 216
  • vaccines 17, 287, 310; polio 261, 275; smallpox 221
  • Vandals 175
  • Vanderbilt, Cornelius 17, 23, 24
  • vCJD (mad-cow disease) 280, 308
  • Veblen, Thorstein 102
  • Veenhoven, Ruut 28
  • vegetarianism 83, 126, 147, 376
  • Venezuela 31, 61, 238
  • Venice 115, 178–9
  • venture capitalists 223, 258, 259
  • Veron, Charlie 339–40
  • Victoria, Lake 250
  • Victoria, Queen 322
  • Vienna exhibition (1873) 233–4
  • Vietnam 15, 183, 188
  • Vikings 176
  • violence: decline in 14, 106, 201; homicide 14, 20, 85, 88, 106, 118, 201; in pre-industrial societies 44–5, 136, 137–9; random 104
  • Visby, Gotland 180
  • vitamin A 353
  • vitamin C 258
  • vitamin D 129
  • Vivaldi, Antonio 115
  • Vladimir, Russia 71
  • Vogel, Orville 142
  • Vogelherd, Germany 70
  • voles 97
  • Voltaire 96, 103, 104, 256

 

  • Wagner, Charles 288
  • Wal-Mart (retail corporation) 21, 112–14, 263
  • Wales 132
  • Wall Street
    (film) 101
  • Walton, Sam 112–13, 263
  • Wambugu, Florence 154
  • war: in Africa 316; in hunter-gatherer societies 44–5; threat of nuclear war 280, 290, 299–300; twentieth-century world wars 289, 309; unilateral declarations of 104
  • water: contaminated 338, 353, 429; pricing of 148; supplies 147, 280, 281, 324, 334–5;
    see also
    droughts; irrigation
  • water snakes 17
  • watermills 176, 194, 198, 215, 216–17, 234
  • Watson, Thomas 282
  • Watt, James 221, 244, 256, 271, 411, 413–14
  • wave and tidal power 246, 343, 344
  • weather forecasting 3, 4, 335
  • weather-related death rates 335–6
  • Wedgwood, Josiah 105, 114, 225, 256
  • Wedgwood, Sarah 105
  • weed control 145, 152
  • Weiss, George David 349
  • Weitzman, Martin 332–3
  • Welch, Jack 261
  • welfare benefits 16, 106
  • Wellington, Arthur Wellesley, 1st Duke of 89
  • Wells, H.G. 65, 313, 352, 354
  • West Germany 289–90
  • West Indies 202, 216, 310
  • Western Union (company) 261
  • Westinghouse, George 234
  • whales 6, 281, 302
  • whaling 87, 185, 281
  • wheat 42, 71, 124, 125, 129, 139, 140, 146–7, 149, 153, 156, 158, 161, 167, 300–301; new varieties 141–3
  • Wheeler, Sir Mortimer 162
  • wheels, invention of 176, 274
  • Whitehead, Alfred North 255
  • Wikipedia (online encyclopedia) 99, 115, 273, 356
  • Wilberforce, William 105, 214
  • Wilder, Thornton 359
  • wilderness land, expansion of 144, 147, 148, 239, 337–8, 347, 359
  • wildlife conservation 324, 329
  • William III, King 223
  • Williams, Anthony 262
  • Williams, Joseph 254
  • Williams, Rowan, Archbishop of Canterbury 102
  • Wilson, Bart 90, 324
  • Wilson, E.O. 243, 293
  • Wiltshire 194
  • wind power 239, 246, 343–4, 346, 408
  • wolves 87, 137
  • women’s liberation 108–9
  • wool 37, 149, 158, 167, 178, 179, 194, 224
  • working conditions, improvements in 106–7, 114, 115, 188, 219–20, 227, 285
  • World Bank 117, 203, 317
  • World Health Organisation 336–7, 421
  • World Wide Web 273, 356
  • World3 (computer model) 302–3
  • Wrangham, Richard 59, 60
  • Wright brothers 261, 264
  • Wright, Robert 101, 175
  • Wrigley, Tony 231

 

  • Y2K computer bug 280, 290, 341
  • Yahgan Indians 62
  • Yahoo (corporation) 268
  • Yangtze river 181, 199, 230
  • Yeats, W.B. 289
  • yellow fever 310
  • Yellow river 161, 167
  • Yemen 207, 209
  • Yir Yoront aborigines 90–91
  • Yong-Le, Chinese emperor 183, 184, 185
  • Yorkshire 285
  • Young, Allyn 276
  • young people, pessimism about 292
  • Young, Thomas 221
  • Younger Dryas (climatic period) 125
  • Yucatan 335

 

  • Zak, Paul 94–5, 97
  • Zambia 28, 154, 316, 317, 318, 331
  • zero, invention of 173, 251
  • zero-sum thinking 101
  • Zimbabwe 14, 28, 117, 302, 316
  • zinc 213, 303
  • Zuckerberg, Mark 262

It is one of the central arguments of this book that the special feature of human intelligence is that it is collective, not individual – thanks to the invention of exchange and specialisation. The same is true of the ideas in this book. I have done no more in writing it than try to open my mind to the free flow and exchange of ideas of others and hope that those ideas will mate furiously within my own cortex. The writing of the book has been a sort of continuous conversation, therefore, with friends, experts, mentors and strangers, carried on in person, by email, by exchange of papers and references, in person and by telephone. The internet is truly a great gift to authors, providing boundless access to sources of knowledge on which to draw, a virtual library of unlimited size and speed (and of course variable quality).

I am immensely grateful to all those who have allowed me to converse with them in this way and I have met nothing but freely given help and advice from all. I am especially grateful to Jan Witkowski, Gerry Ohrstrom and Julian Morris, who helped me organise a meeting on ‘The Retreat from Reason’ at Cold Spring Harbor to begin to explore my ideas; and then to Terry Anderson and Monika Cheney who two years later arranged a seminar in Napa, California, for me to bounce a first draft of my book off some remarkable people for two days.

Here, in alphabetical order, are some of those whose ideas and thoughts I sampled most fruitfully. Their collective generosity and perspicacity have been astounding. The mistakes, of course, are mine. They include: Bruce Ames, Terry Anderson, June Arunga, Ron Bailey, Nick Barton, Roger Bate, Eric Beinhocker, Alex Bentley, Carl Bergstrom, Roger Bingham, Doug Bird, Rebecca Bliege Bird, the late Norman Borlaug, Rob Boyd, Kent Bradford, Stewart Brand, Sarah Brosnan, John Browning, Erwin Bulte, Bruce Charlton, Monika Cheney, Patricia Churchland, Greg Clark, John Clippinger, Daniel Cole, Greg Conko, Jack Crawford, the late Michael Crichton, Helena Cronin, Clive Crook, Tony Curzon Price, Richard Dawkins, Tracey Day, Dan Dennett, Hernando de Soto, Frans de Waal, John Dickhaut, Anna Dreber, Susan Dudley, Emma Duncan, Martin Durkin, David Eagleman, Niall Ferguson, Alvaro Fischer, Tim Fitzgerald, David Fletcher, Rob Foley, Richard Gardner, Katya Georgieva, Gordon Getty, Jeanne Giaccia, Urs Glasser, Indur Goklany, Allen Good, Oliver Goodenough, Johnny Grimond, Monica Guenther, Robin Hanson, Joe Henrich, Dominic Hobson, Jack Horner, Sarah Hrdy, Nick Humphrey, Anya Hurlbert, Anula Jayasuriya, Elliot Justin, Anne Kandler, Ximena Katz, Terence Kealey, Eric Kimbrough, Kari Kohn, Meir Kohn, Steve Kuhn, Marta Lahr, Nigel Lawson, Don Leal, Gary Libecap, Brink Lindsey, Robert Litan, Bjørn Lomborg, Marcus Lovell-Smith, Qing Lu, Barnaby Marsh, Richard Maudslay, Sally McBrearty, Kevin McCabe, Bobby McCormick, Ian McEwan, Al McHughen, Warren Meyer, Henry Miller, Alberto Mingardi, Graeme Mitchison, Julian Morris, Oliver Morton, Richard Moxon, Daniel Nettle, Johann Norberg, Jesse Norman, Haim Ofek, Gerry Ohrstrom, Kendra Okonski, Svante Paabo, Mark Pagel, Richard Peto, Ryan Phelan, Steven Pinker, Kenneth Pomeranz, David Porter, Virginia Postrel, C.S. Prakash, Chris Pywell, Sarah Randolph, Trey Ratcliff, Paul Reiter, Eric Rey, Pete Richerson, Luke Ridley, Russell Roberts, Paul Romer, David Sands, Rashid Shaikh, Stephen Shennan, Michael Shermer, Lee Silver, Dane Stangler, James Steele, Chris Stringer, Ashley Summerfield, Ray Tallis, Dick Taverne, Janice Taverne, John Tooby, Nigel Vinson, Nicholas Wade, Ian Wallace, Jim Watson, Troy Wear, Franz Weissing, David Wengrow, Tim White, David Willetts, Bart Wilson, Jan Witkowski, Richard Wrangham, Bob Wright and last, but certainly not least, Paul Zak, who employed me as white-coated lab assistant for a day.

My agent, Felicity Bryan, is, as ever, a godmother of this book – encouraging and reassuring at all the right moments. She and Peter Ginsberg have been champions of the project throughout, as have my editors Terry Karten, Mitzi Angel and Louise Haines and other supportive friends at 4th Estate and HarperCollins, especially Elizabeth Woabank. Huge thanks too to Kendra Okonski for invaluable help in making rationaloptimist.com a reality, and to Luke Ridley for help with research. Thanks also to Roger Harmar, Sarah Hyndman and MacGuru Ltd for the charts at the start of each chapter.

My greatest debt is to my family, not least for helping me to find the space and time to write. Anya’s inspiration, insight and support are immeasurably valuable. It has been a great joy to have for the first time the unflinchingly sharp mind of my son to discuss ideas with, and check facts, as I write. He helped prepare most of the charts. And my daughter led me to a bridge in Paris one evening, to listen to Dick Miller and his group singing ‘What a Wonderful World’.

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