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Authors: Odd Arne Westad

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Page 95
Chinese advance, Rau's group at the United Nations introduced its proposal for a negotiated settlement. It called for an immediate cease-fire in Korea, with a promise that foreign troops would withdraw gradually from Korea and that a four-power conference (among the Soviet Union, the United States, the United Kingdom, and the People's Republic) would be convened to settle outstanding East Asian questions, including the Taiwan issue and PRC representation in the United Nations.
Before responding to the UN proposal, Zhou Enlai again turned to Stalin for ''advice and consultation," as he phrased it.

18
The Soviet leader agreed that the time had come to lay out their terms. On January 17 Zhou accordingly rejected the UN cease-fire proposal, arguing logically that it was "designed to give U.S. troops a breathing space," and set forth instead harsher conditions: that a seven-power conference be held in China, that the People' s Republic be installed in the United Nations at the outset of the negotiations, that all foreign troops be withdrawn from Korea, and that a Great Power conference also discuss the removal of American protection of Taiwan.
19
Although the Indian government was willing to pursue negotiations with the People's Republic on the basis of these terms, the United States could not accept the Chinese conditions; thus discussions of a negotiated settlement were abandoned.

It is not difficult to understand that at this point each of the three Communist allies wanted to press for total victory against American and UN troops. The only cautionary note, as far as we know, came from CPV Commander Peng Dehuai, who was concerned about the logistical difficulties of supplying Chinese troops farther down the peninsula and about the lack of air cover for Chinese and North Korean ground forces.
20
Peng was overruled, however, and despite an unexpectedly strong repulse by UN forces in late January, the Communist allies prepared a large-scale offensive for April 1951, which they believed would be the final campaign.
21
As the CPV commanders phrased it in their mobilization order on April 19, "this is the campaign that will determine the fate and length of the Korean War."
22
The CPV assessment of the significance of this campaign proved correct, for when the spring offensive of April and May 1951 failed to push UN forces farther south and moreover resulted in very high casualties among Chinese and North Korean troops, the Communist allies decided to pursue a negotiated settlement. Russian sources released thus far do not include records of the initial discussions among the allies regarding opening negotiations, but Chinese documents reveal that on June 2, Mao invited Kim II Sung to visit Beijing to discuss the new strategy, as Kim was reluctant to abandon hope for a total victory.
23
While Kim was in Beijing, the Soviet Union took steps toward opening negotiations in Korea. We do not know what communications the three leaders had

 

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prior to the Soviet initiative, but on June 5 Jacob Malik informed U.S. diplomat George Kennan in a meeting at Malik's home on Long Island that "the Soviet government wanted peace and wanted a peaceful solution of the Korean question at the earliest possible moment." He advised the United States to "get in touch with the North Koreans and the Chinese Communists in this matter."

24

A week later Kim II Sung and Gao Gang, the CCP Northeast Party Secretary noted for his close ties to the Soviet Union, traveled to Moscow to discuss the new situation with Stalin.
25
The Soviet leader was again concerned about the possibility that the weakened position of the Chinese/Korean forces might endanger Soviet interests by exposing the presence of Soviet Air Force units in Korea. On June 13, 1951, he brusquely admonished his air force representative in Beijing to speed up the training of Chinese and Korean pilots, explaining that
the Chinese troops will not fight without air cover. Therefore it is necessary to create more quickly a group of eight Chinese air fighter divisions and send them to the front. This is now your main task. Belov can send one division closer to the Chinese border in Manchuria, and two divisions can be held in the rear in North Korea, thus freeing up two airports for the Chinese fighter divisions closer to the front. This is absolutely necessary. It is necessary to arrange matters so that the Chinese rely only on their own aviation at the front.
26
That day Stalin also reported to Mao the results of his conversations that day with Kim and Gao. "Three questions were raised: First about an armistice. We recognized that an armistice is now advantageous. Second about military advisers. If they are very necessary to you, then we are ready to satisfy you. Third about the delivery of arms for sixteen divisions. There will not be objections from our side." Stalin then relayed to Mao his instructions to Gao and Kim regarding the need to deploy additional air force fighter divisions of MiG-15s and added that
after the end of the conversation we received information that the Anglo-Americans intend to appeal to you and to the Koreans in the name of the sixteen states fighting against Korea with a proposal about an armistice. But before making this proposal they want to strike a blow against our troops. It is possible that this is just rumors, but it is fully possible and probable that this is not simply rumors, but corresponds to reality. We therefore advise you to hold tight the line of defense and not allow the enemy to advance.
27

 

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It appears, therefore, that pursuing an armistice was only part of Stalin's approach to managing the Communists' newly weakened position on the battlefield; his primary concern was to strengthen the Chinese People's Volunteers and the Korean People's Army and to prevent a U.S./UN advance.
Mao Zedong's reply to Stalin's telegram, in the form of two telegrams sent the same day, indicates more explicitly that seeking an armistice was primarily a means to avoid a new enemy offensive until the Chinese and North Koreans could reinforce their position. Mao's telegram to Gao and Kim informed them that with regard to an armistice, "we consider it advisable for Korea and China to advance this question today, since in the next two months the Korean army and Chinese volunteer troops must occupy a defensive position." Mao explained that:
in June and July preparations will be carried out intensively. In August we will carry out a stronger operation. If the enemy does not make a large-scale amphibious landing in our rear, then our goal can be achieved. If the enemy does not send new reinforcements to Korea and does not make an amphibious landing, then in August we will be significantly stronger than now."
However, Mao did not want to take the first step toward entering negotiations, apparently out of concern for China's prestige. He therefore instructed Gao and Kim that it was better that they wait for the enemy to make an appeal and for the Soviet government than to "make an inquiry to the American government about an armistice." He asked both men to decide with Stalin whether it was more advisable for the Soviet government to make an inquiry or for Korea and China to express willingness to open negotiations if the enemy put forth a proposal.

28
As conditions for an armistice, Mao listed restoration of the status quo ante and creation of a neutral zone along the thirty-eighth parallel, the most conciliatory terms the Chinese leader ever advanced. He stated that it was possible to omit the question of PRC representation in the United Nations as a condition "since China can refer to the fact that the UN has in fact become an instrument of aggression, and therefore China does not at the present time attach a special significance to the question of entrance into the UN."
29

To Stalin, Mao wrote that he "had communicated our opinion on the question of an armistice to Comrade Gao Gang in order for him to relay it to you and receive instructions from you. I won't write about it in detail here." He then focused on the plans for the next offensive, writing that "Comrade Peng Dehuai very much needs Soviet advisers on strategy and tactics. It would be desirable if

 

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