223
You might be tempted to pursue ideas along exactly those lines—perhaps the information is copied, and is contained simultaneously in the book falling into the singularity and in the radiation leaving the black hole. A result in quantum mechanics—the “No-Cloning Theorem”—says that can’t happen. Not only can information not be destroyed, but it can’t be duplicated.
224
Preskill’s take on the black hole bets can be found at his Web page:
http://www.theory.caltech.edu/people/preskill/bets.html
. For an in-depth explanation of the black hole information loss paradox, see Susskind (2008).
225
You might think we could sidestep this conclusion by appealing to photons once again, because photons are particles that have zero mass. But they do have energy; the energy of a photon is larger when its wavelength is smaller. Because we’re dealing with a box of a certain fixed size, each photon inside will have a minimum allowed energy; otherwise, it simply wouldn’t fit. And the energy of all those photons, through the miracle of
E
=
mc
2
, contributes to the mass of the box. (Each photon is massless, but a box of photons has a mass, given by the sum of the photon energies divided by the speed of light squared.)
226
The area of a sphere is equal to 4π times its radius squared. The area of a black hole event horizon, logically enough, is 4π times the Schwarzschild radius squared. This is actually the
definition
of the Schwarzschild radius, since the highly curved spacetime inside the black hole makes it difficult to sensibly define the distance from the singularity to the horizon. (Remember—that distance is timelike!) So the area of the event horizon is proportional to the square of the mass of the black hole. This is all for black holes with zero rotation and no net electric charge; if the hole is spinning or charged, the formulas are slightly more complicated.
227
The holographic principle is discussed in Susskind (2008); for technical details, see Bousso (2002).
228
Maldacena (1998). The title of Maldacena’s paper, “The Large
N
Limit of Superconformal Field Theories and Supergravity,” doesn’t immediately convey the excitement of his result. When Juan came to Santa Barbara in 1997 to give a seminar, I stayed in my office to work, having not been especially intrigued by his title. Had the talk been advertised as “An Equivalence Between a Five-Dimensional Theory with Gravity and a Four-Dimensional Theory Without Gravity,” I probably would have attended the seminar. Afterward, it was easy to tell from the conversations going on in the hallway—excited, almost frantic, scribbling on blackboards to work out implications of these new ideas—that I had missed something big.
229
The good thing about string theory is that it seems to be a unique theory; the bad thing is that this theory seems to have many different phases, which look more or less like completely different theories. Just like water can take the form of ice, liquid, or water vapor, depending on the circumstances, in string theory spacetime itself can come in many different phases, with different kinds of particles and even different numbers of observable dimensions of space. And when we say “many,” we’re not kidding—people throw around numbers like 10
500
different phases, and it could very well be an infinite number. So the theoretical uniqueness of string theory seems to be of little practical help in understanding the particles and interactions of our particular world. See Greene (2000) or Musser (2008) for overviews of string theory, and Susskind (2006) for a discussion (an optimistic one) of the problem of many different phases.
230
Strominger and Vafa (1996). For a popular-level account, see Susskind (2008).
231
While the Strominger-Vafa work implies that the space of states for a black hole in string theory has the right size to account for the entropy, it doesn’t quite tell us what those states look like when gravity is turned on. Samir Mathur and collaborators have suggested that they are “fuzzballs”—configurations of oscillating strings that fill up the volume of the black hole inside the event horizon (Mathur, 2005).
13. THE LIFE OF THE UNIVERSE
232
In the eighteenth century, Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz posed the Primordial Existential Question: “Why is there something rather than nothing?” (One might answer, “Why not?”) Subsequently, some philosophers have tried to argue that the very existence of the universe should be surprising to us, on the grounds that “nothing” is simpler than “something” (e.g., Swinburne, 2004). But that presupposes a somewhat dubious definition of “simplicity,” as well as the idea that this particular brand of simplicity is something a universe ought to have—neither of which is warranted by either experience or logic. See Grünbaum (2004) for a discussion.
233
Some would argue that God plays the role of the Universal Chicken, creating the universe in a certain state that accounts for the low-entropy beginning. This doesn’t seem like a very parsimonious explanatory framework, as it’s unclear why the entropy would be quite so low, and why (for one thing among many) there should be a hundred billion galaxies in the universe. More important, as scientists we want to explain the most with the least, so if we can come up with naturalistic theories that account for the low entropy of our observed universe without recourse to anything other than the laws of physics, that would be a triumph. Historically, this has been a very successful strategy; pointing at “gaps” in naturalistic explanations of the world and insisting that only God can fill them has, by contrast, had a dismal track record.
234
This isn’t exactly true, although it’s a pretty good approximation. If a certain kind of particle couples very weakly to the rest of the matter and radiation in the universe, it can essentially stop interacting, and drop out of contact with the surrounding equilibrium configuration. This is a process known as “freeze-out,” and it is crucially important to cosmologists—for example, when they would like to calculate the abundance of dark matter particles, which plausibly froze out at a very early time. In fact, the matter and radiation in the late universe (today) has frozen out long ago, and we are no longer in equilibrium even when you ignore gravity. (The temperature of the cosmic microwave background is about 3 Kelvin, so if we were in equilibrium, everything around you would be at a temperature of 3 Kelvin.)
235
The speed of light divided by the Hubble constant defines the “Hubble length,” which works out to about 14 billion light-years in the current universe. For not-too-crazy cosmologies, this quantity is almost the same as the age of the universe times the speed of light, so they can be used interchangeably. Because the universe expands at different rates at different times, the current size of our comoving patch can actually be somewhat larger than the Hubble length.
236
See, for example, Kofman, Linde, and Mukhanov (2002). That paper was written in response to a paper by Hollands and Wald (2002) that raised some similar issues to those we’re exploring in this chapter, in the specific context of inflationary cosmology. For a popular-level discussion that takes a similar view, see Chaisson (2001).
237
Indeed, Eric Schneider and Dorion Sagan (2005) have argued that the “purpose of life” is to accelerate the rate of entropy production by smoothing out gradients in the universe. It’s hard to make a proposal like that rigorous, for various reasons; one is that, while the Second Law says that entropy tends to increase, there’s no law of nature that says entropy tends to increase as fast as it can.
238
Also in contrast with the gravitational effects of sources of energy density other than “particles.” This loophole is relevant to the real world because of dark energy. The dark energy isn’t a collection of particles; it’s a smooth field that pervades the universe, and its gravitational impact is to push things apart. Nobody ever said things would be simple.
239
Other details are also important. In the early universe, ordinary matter is
ionized
—electrons are moving freely, rather than being attached to atomic nuclei. The pressure in an ionized plasma is generally larger than in a collection of atoms.
240
Penrose (2005), 706. An earlier version of this argument can be found in Penrose (1979).
241
Most of the matter in the universe—between 80 percent and 90 percent by mass—is in the form of dark matter, not the ordinary matter of atoms and molecules. We don’t know what the dark matter is, and it’s conceivable that it takes the form of small black holes. But there are problems with that idea, including the difficulty of making so many black holes in the first place. So most cosmologists tend to believe that the dark matter is very likely to be some sort of new elementary particle (or particles) that hasn’t yet been discovered.
242
Black-hole entropy increases rapidly as the black hole gains mass—it’s proportional to the mass squared. (Entropy goes like area, which goes like radius squared, and the Schwarzschild radius is proportional to the mass.) So a black hole of 10 million solar masses would have 100 times the entropy of one coming in at 1 million solar masses.
243
Penrose (2005), 707.
244
The argument here closely follows a paper I wrote in collaboration with Jennifer Chen (Carroll and Chen, 2004).
245
See, for example, Zurek (1982).
246
It’s also very far from being accepted wisdom among physicists. Not that there is any accepted answer to the question “What do the highest-entropy states look like when gravity is taken into account?” other than “We don’t know.” But hopefully you’ll become convinced that “empty space” is the best answer we have at the moment.
247
This is peeking ahead a bit, but note that we could also play this game backward in time. That is: start from some configuration of matter in the universe, a slice of spacetime at one moment in time. In some places we’ll see expansion and dilution, in others contraction and collapse and ultimately evaporation. But we can also ask what would happen if we evolved that “initial” state backward in time, using the same reversible laws of physics. The answer, of course, is that we would find the same kind of behavior. The regions that are expanding toward the future are contracting toward the past, and vice versa. But ultimately space would empty out as the “expanding” regions took over. The very far past looks just like the very far future: empty space.
248
Here in our own neighborhood, NASA frequently uses a similar effect—the “gravitational slingshot”—to help accelerate probes to the far reaches of the Solar System. If a spacecraft passes by a massive planet in just the right way, it can pick up some of the planet’s energy of motion. The planet is so heavy that it hardly notices, but the spacecraft gets flung away at a much higher velocity.
249
Wald (1983).
250
In particular, we can define a “horizon” around every observable patch of de Sitter space, just as we can with black holes. Then the entropy formula for that patch is precisely the same formula as the entropy of a black hole—it’s the area of that horizon, measured in Planck units, divided by four.
251
If
H
is the Hubble parameter in de Sitter space, the temperature is
T
= (
ħ/
2
πk
)
H
, where
ħ
is Planck’s constant and
k
is Boltzmann’s constant. This was first worked out by Gary Gibbons and Stephen Hawking (1977).
252
You might think this prediction is a bit too bold, relying on uncertain extrapolations into regimes of physics that we don’t really understand. It’s undeniably true that we don’t have direct experimental access to an eternal de Sitter universe, but the scenario we have sketched out relies only on a few fairly robust principles: the existence of thermal radiation in de Sitter space, and the relative frequency of different kinds of random fluctuations. In particular, it’s tempting to wonder whether there is some special kind of fluctuation that makes a Big Bang, and that kind of fluctuation is more likely than a fluctuation that makes a Boltzmann brain. That might be what actually happens, according to the ultimately correct laws of physics—indeed, we’ll propose something much like that later in the book—but it’s absolutely not what happens under the assumptions we are making here. The nice thing about thermal fluctuations in eternal de Sitter space is that we understand thermal fluctuations very well, and we can calculate with confidence how frequently different fluctuations occur. Specifically, fluctuations involving large changes in entropy are enormously less likely than fluctuations involving small changes in entropy. It will always be easier to fluctuate into a brain than into a universe, unless we depart from this scenario in some profound way.
253
Dyson, Kleban, and Susskind (2002); Albrecht and Sorbo (2004).
14. INFLATION AND THE MULTIVERSE
254
Toulmin (1988), 393.