C
HAPTER
10
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
Wednesday, September 29, 9:42
A.M
.
Â
S
am slumps in his chair as the reedy voices continue to bicker over the small earphone in his ear. Kaylee, sitting near and listening in, puts her hand on his arm. The room feels as if the thermostat is set to max heat, and a stream of moisture slithers down his back.
“We're wasting time,” he says to Kaylee.
“Give me a few minutes, Dr. Blake,” the President says.
Sam blushes, not realizing his mike is still active. The nasal voice of the director of homeland security, who has the advantage of sitting next to the President, is the loudest.
“Sir, we need more definitive information,” she says.
Sam covers the microphone with his hand. “Kaylee, run to the observation room and see what's happening. I need an update, anything I can use to convince these people. And please ask Daniel to bring me another bottle of water.”
Kaylee removes the earpiece, unclips the microphone, and hurries from the room. Sam swivels his chair away from the camera and stares out the window as the arguing continues nearly seventeen hundred miles away. From what Sam can make of the conversation, the President seems to be leaning toward Janice Baker's assertion that more information is needed. A possibly fatal mistake. Kaylee returns and slides a pile of papers across the desk. Sam takes a moment to digest the latest information as Daniel slips in and places a bottle of water in front of him.
Sam says loudly into the mike, “Major Garcia, did you receive the latest update?”
“No, Sam, I don't have anything. What is it?” she says.
“Another large CME erupted almost five minutes ago.”
“Is that one headed toward Earth, Dr. Blake?” President Harris says.
“Unknown, sir. But with these coronal ejections occurring more frequently we need to act now, Mr. President,” Sam says, his voice laced with anger. “These other CMEs could arrive here much more quickly. Think of the first one as a snowplow clearing the road, sir. The following plasma storms will accelerate as they travel down the cleared path.”
Janice Baker says, “But, Dr. Blake, you've said repeatedly you don't even know if they're heading toward us.”
Sam addresses the President directly. “Sir, the first indications suggested they are. I wish to God I could say with one hundred percent certainty, but I can't. I will tell you this: I believe with ninety percent certainty they are racing toward Earth. Do we want to risk everything on a ten percent difference?”
Sam reaches for the water bottle as an eruption of voices fills his ear. Then the President's voice drowns out all others.
“Dr. Blake, Major Garcia, I'm going with your assumptions. I want a detailed plan to minimize the damage and I want it in thirty minutes. Get busy, people. Dr. Blake, do we have that long?”
Samuel Blake looks at the clock on the wall. “I hope so, Mr. President.”
“I do, too,” President Harris says before the audio connection goes dead in Sam's ear.
C
HAPTER
12
The White House Situation Room
Wednesday, September 29, 10:25
A.M
.
Â
P
resident Harris returns to the Situation Room and sits wearily in one of the leather chairs. The director of the National Security Agency hurries into the room and takes the seat next to the President. He leans in to whisper to the President.
“What?” the President shouts.
All heads turn in his direction. “When?” he says in a softer tone. President Harris sags against the back of the chair as the NSA director finishes the conversation and pulls away.
The room is silent and the participants of the videoconference are frozen in place. The President jerks to his feet and places both palms on the table. “I was just informedâ”
The NSA director leans over to put a hand on the President's arm. President Harris scowls and pulls his arm away.
“I think everyone in here has the necessary clearances, Charles.”
“Not everyone,” the NSA director says, nodding toward the front screen.
“Well, I just cleared them. The National Security Agency's satellite surveillance system is dead in the water.”
A few surprised gasps.
“That means we have no way to track what our enemies are plotting. And God knows we don't lack for enemies. I want a detailed plan to further minimize the damage.”
The President sits. “Dr. Blake, what the hell is going on? You do work for the Space Weather
Prediction
Center, don't you?”
Sam Blake meets the challenge head-on. “Yes, sir. I'm not going to argue semantics with you, Mr. President, but we are hindered by the lack of working instruments. I will tell you for certain that we are being hammered by solar flares stronger than any since the advent of electricity. These solar flares could play havocâ”
“Hold up, Sam,” the President says before turning to the West Wing staffer who had materialized at his side. The young man, his suit coat buttoned and his red tie cinched tight to his throat, hands President Harris a single sheet of paper. The President puts on his reading glasses and quickly scans the contents as the room grows quiet. He lays the paper on the table, removes his reading glasses, and looks up at the monitor. “The good news continues. Most of Boston is without power. More solar flares, Sam?”
“Yes, and all this is a precursor to the much larger main storm. What's happening in Boston and what's already happened at the NSA is only the tip of the iceberg. The FAA is also reporting radio interference in the northern latitudes between ground stations and aircraft.”
President Harris turns to the director of homeland security. “Janice, what's the plan?”
Janice Baker's hair looks like a bird's nest and the wrinkled white blouse she's wearing is decorated along the front with a coffee stain reminiscent of a Rorschach blot. Although her outward appearance is sometimes considered frumpy, she has a razor-sharp mind and the ability to adapt to rapid changes with concise, bold moves. She moves to the edge of her seat and rests her forearms on the table. “Sir, this is so far outside of our bailiwick. Tracking terrorists or stopping a terrorist threat we can do, sir, but dealing with a presumptive natural disaster is beyond our scope. That being said, working in conjunction with FEMA and the state leaders of various emergency management agencies, we have developed a response plan. I'll defer to Director Carter for an explanation of the specifics.”
The President scowls. “Janice, your agency is going to be responsible for many of the actions that need to be taken. I don't want you taking a backseat.”
She lowers her eyes. “I understand, Mr. President. We're ready to implement our portion of the plan.”
The large screen fills with the face of Donald Carter, director of FEMA. A black man in his late fifties, he has the fleshy face and sagging chin of a lifelong government employee. He is well respected for his compassion and intelligence throughout the various FEMA agencies scattered around the country.
“Mr. President, we're in contact with a majority of the nation's power suppliers. We've asked them to reduce capacity to the bare minimum. They are reluctant to reduce supply below acceptable levels at the present time, but hope to phase down throughout the day. But, sir, they are expressing doubts about whether a switched-off grid is any less vulnerable.” The director pauses for a sip of water.
“As for the airlines, we're asking them to ground all future flights. They're not real happy, believing it to be a temporary problem.”
“Mr. President,” a voice says, interrupting. He glances up at the screen. “Was that you, Major Garcia?”
“Yes, sir. I believe all flights should be grounded now. Those that are in flight should be landed at the closest available airport.”
The director of homeland security sits up erect in her chair. “We can't strand these passengers hundreds or thousands of miles from their destinationsâ”
“Director Baker,” Major Garcia interrupts, “it's better to be stranded than splattered all over the ground because the pilot can't navigate or communicate.”
President Harris holds up both hands. “Don, you've talked to some of the airline reps. What do you think?”
“They'll squeal like a stuck pig, sir. But Major Garcia might have a valid point.”
The President mulls over the options. “Janice, tell your people to give the airlines a three-hour window. That'll allow most of the planes to reach their destination.”
She nods and excuses herself from the table to make the call.
President Harris turns back to the screen. “Don, what other good news do you have?”
“Communications are going to be a major problem, sir. There is a high probability that a majority of the satellites are vulnerable, just as has already happened with the NSA. There may not be a bird left in orbit, sir.
“In conjunction with the National Emergency Management Association, we're trying to develop other lines of communication via high-frequency radio or some other type of system. I just completed a reread of the latest computer models of what might happen with such a large solar storm, and, sir, the outlook is dismal.”
“ âDismal' doesn't accurately describe it, Don. Dr. Blake, Major Garciaâany way to narrow the timeline for arrival of the main storm?”
“It's just guesswork, sir,” Major Garcia says, “but I do think the seventeen-hour scenario is too generous.”
“What's your estimate?”
She blots the sweat from her face. “Ten, maybe twelve hours.”
“Christ, a few hours to prepare for an event we have no conception of,” the President mutters, but he's overheard by everyone. “Dr. Blake, you seem well versed on what the effects of the storm might be. Explain what might happen to our power grids.”
Sam Blake's face fills the screen. “It's not what
might
happen, sir, it's what
will
happen. The geomagnetic storm will produce power spikesâenormous amperageâthat will basically melt the transformers. The longer the length of the high-voltage lines, the more vulnerable we are. Unfortunately, our country has thousands and thousands of miles of high-voltage wire.”
“Why can't we just replace the transformers and resume electrical service?”
“I'm not an expert on electrical power, Mr. President, but from the reading I've done, there may only be a few extra transformers in the whole country. We're talking huge, expensive, and complicated equipment. It takes anywhere from fifteen months or longer to manufacture just one. Not only that, but just transporting the massive devices is a long-term process. Increase that one to hundreds or even thousands, and it would take years to rebuild the electrical infrastructure.”
The President turns his attention to the FEMA director. “Don, why don't the electrical companies maintain a supply of these transformers?”
“We'll need to ask them, sir, but I believe the issue is economics. As Dr. Blake said, these transformers are extremely expensive, and unfortunately our grid is so diverse most of the parts aren't interchangeable between systems.”
“What if we force the power companies to switch off all power, at least until the worst of the storm passes?”
The secretary of commerce says, “Mr. President, even the loss of a few hours of electrical power would cause the loss of billions of dollars to our economy.”
“If that's the toll for a few hours, Ed, what do you think the economic impact will be after a year or more without electricity?” the President snaps.
“Sir, if I may,” Major Garcia says. “As Director Carter said, the electrical companies have already suggested a switched-off system may be no less vulnerable, but I would err on the side of caution and force them to hit the off switch. But I believe, regardless of the effects on the electrical grid, our primary focus should be activating the National Guard. We're looking at chaos on an unimaginable scale.”